Nature's Market

People can all be looked at as black-box units with ​objectives, needs, and wants: incentives.

People fulfill their incentives through their own work, or through arbitrage with other people.

Nature, the largest free market, facilitates trading of these incentives between people.

Nature, like all other markets, seeks to maximize its production (settlement of human incentives) at all costs, especially human costs.


History is the process of risk-takers creating systems to increase nature's total production: oftentimes, they are heavily rewarded.

Money, agriculture, private property, government, society, morality, religion: these are all examples of such systems.

These systems created over human history have compounded into modern human behavior and social networks.

The complexity of human behavior and social networks is just an emergent property of the web of incentives driving nature's market.


Nature converts time into production, and does this with incredible increasing efficiency.

Time is extremely scarce, and nature will aggressively apply tactics to devaluate it: population growth and technological innovation.

Time is the most valuable thing to a person: nature does not care, and will enslave them and steal their time away.

To compete in nature, people must focus on efficiency, rather than net production, or they will lose all their time.


However, efficiency is fleeting: nature will eventually acclimate to the increased production, forcing everyone to catch up.

Working hours never decrease with higher efficiency, since everyone is forced to work more to outcompete their peers.

For a short period, the agricultural revolution helped the risk-taker: higher efficiency meant less work as they switched from hunter-gathering to farming.

Nature did not let this last, and population boom created long, toiling hours and terrible competition for farmers: a life worse than hunter gathering.


Every incentive imaginable has a price tag, and outlawing something only increases its price tag.

Nature runs on incentives, and any artificial suppression of such leaves profit to be made somewhere else.

If any single person or system tries to restrict too many incentives, nature will replace it.

Nature is antifragile, and violently incentivizes decentralization and the preservation of freedoms.